NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT WMU
Points 75.8 68.7
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.7 12.2
Shooting KENT WMU
Field Goals Made 26.2 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 56.6
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 14.7 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 19.9
Free Throw % 73.1% 61.5%
Ball Control KENT WMU
Rebounds 35.9 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 12.4
Turnovers 9.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.6
Steals 6.5 4.2
Fouls 16.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT WMU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 70.1
% of Possessions with KENT WMU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 27.9%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.9%
Turnover 13.1% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT WMU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 33.8%