NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT GONZ
Points 67.0 86.9
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 19.8
Points From Free Throws 12.0 14.5
Shooting KENT GONZ
Field Goals Made 23.2 32.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 59.0
Field Goal % 37.6% 55.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.2% 64.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 19.5
Free Throw % 73.1% 74.4%
Ball Control KENT GONZ
Rebounds 29.9 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.7 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.3
Turnovers 9.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.0
Steals 4.7 5.8
Fouls 15.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT GONZ
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 71.3
% of Possessions with KENT GONZ
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 22.4%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.7%
Turnover 13.8% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT GONZ
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 35.6%