NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT BUFF
Points 78.5 66.4
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 20.2
Points From Free Throws 13.7 11.3
Shooting KENT BUFF
Field Goals Made 27.9 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 56.7
Field Goal % 43.8% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 28.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 15.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.6%
Ball Control KENT BUFF
Rebounds 39.2 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 8.8
Turnovers 9.2 13.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.0
Steals 6.8 5.1
Fouls 13.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT BUFF
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 66.9
% of Possessions with KENT BUFF
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 29.4%
Player Fouled 19.4% 18.7%
Turnover 12.9% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT BUFF
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 25.1%