NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT EMU
Points 76.5 65.3
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 17.2
Points From Free Throws 14.0 10.2
Shooting KENT EMU
Field Goals Made 27.0 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 56.9
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 15.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 66.6%
Ball Control KENT EMU
Rebounds 37.5 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.3
Steals 6.4 4.9
Fouls 13.8 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT EMU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 66.5
% of Possessions with KENT EMU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 24.2%
Player Fouled 21.7% 20.0%
Turnover 13.2% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT EMU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 25.6%