NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT BGSU
Points 75.9 71.1
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 17.2
Points From Free Throws 12.4 15.8
Shooting KENT BGSU
Field Goals Made 27.4 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 56.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 12.4 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.8
Free Throw % 73.1% 72.7%
Ball Control KENT BGSU
Rebounds 34.1 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.3
Turnovers 9.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.5
Steals 5.7 5.3
Fouls 16.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT BGSU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 70.2
% of Possessions with KENT BGSU
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 24.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.8%
Turnover 14.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT BGSU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 29.1%