NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT M-OH
Points 69.8 68.1
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 24.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 12.6
Shooting KENT M-OH
Field Goals Made 24.1 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 53.9
Field Goal % 41.5% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.9 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 17.6
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.5%
Ball Control KENT M-OH
Rebounds 37.6 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 6.8
Turnovers 10.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.7
Steals 6.3 5.5
Fouls 16.5 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT M-OH
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 64.7
% of Possessions with KENT M-OH
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 29.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.7%
Turnover 15.5% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT M-OH
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 20.7%