NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT TOL
Points 78.4 79.4
Total Points   157.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 44.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 18.6
Points From Free Throws 11.7 16.7
Shooting KENT TOL
Field Goals Made 29.1 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 56.4
Field Goal % 48.8% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 11.7 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 22.6
Free Throw % 73.1% 74.2%
Ball Control KENT TOL
Rebounds 32.6 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.7
Turnovers 11.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.8
Steals 5.6 6.1
Fouls 17.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Toledo

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT TOL
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 69.9
% of Possessions with KENT TOL
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 20.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 24.0%
Turnover 15.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT TOL
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 27.6%