NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN WIS
Points 66.6 76.3
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 31.0
Points From Free Throws 10.8 16.6
Shooting MINN WIS
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 56.7
Field Goal % 42.6% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 10.8 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 19.9
Free Throw % 65.1% 83.5%
Ball Control MINN WIS
Rebounds 34.1 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.0
Turnovers 9.0 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.4
Steals 4.3 4.3
Fouls 17.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN WIS
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 67.9
% of Possessions with MINN WIS
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 35.1%
Player Fouled 22.6% 25.1%
Turnover 13.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN WIS
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 24.0%