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Minnesota at Purdue
Sun Dec 4, 2022
5:00pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Minnesota at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 19, Total Points: 131.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 25-9-0 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 17-3-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 14-8-1 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Beth-Cook | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | UTSA | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Missouri | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | SC Upstate | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | San Francisco | +5.0 | L by 18 | -13.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | New Orleans | -12.0 | W by 33 | +21.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Nebraska | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | IUPUI | -22.5 | W by 36 | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Ball St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Maryland | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Iowa | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Wisconsin | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Penn St | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Iowa | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Purdue | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Rutgers | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Nebraska | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Penn St | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Butler | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Indiana St | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| PUR -19.0 | Open | -19.0 | High | -19.0 |
| Last | -- | Low | -19.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 638 games where the closing line favored the home team by 18 to 20 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 620 times (97.2%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 18 times (2.8%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 325-296-17 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3232 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 1612-1567-53 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.0 | -19.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/04 04:55 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:43 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 12/04 03:49 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/04 01:40 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/04 12:44 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/04 12:41 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:04 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/04 11:44 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/04 11:14 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 12/04 09:46 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:10 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 10:40 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:58 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:28 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:04 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 12/03 06:10 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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