NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN OSU
Points 70.0 74.3
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 19.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 14.2
Shooting MINN OSU
Field Goals Made 25.2 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 59.2
Field Goal % 42.9% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 12.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 18.9
Free Throw % 67.9% 75.2%
Ball Control MINN OSU
Rebounds 34.6 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.9
Turnovers 9.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.4
Steals 4.8 5.5
Fouls 15.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN OSU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 70.5
% of Possessions with MINN OSU
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 21.6%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.5%
Turnover 14.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN OSU
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 28.5%