NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN NEB
Points 73.8 78.0
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.6 27.4
Points From Free Throws 12.0 13.7
Shooting MINN NEB
Field Goals Made 26.1 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 59.5
Field Goal % 43.5% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 12.0 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.0
Free Throw % 67.9% 76.0%
Ball Control MINN NEB
Rebounds 35.8 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.6
Turnovers 10.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.4
Steals 5.8 6.1
Fouls 13.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN NEB
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 69.9
% of Possessions with MINN NEB
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.3% 18.9%
Turnover 14.4% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN NEB
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 25.3%