NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN VT
Points 73.2 76.0
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 23.1
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.0
Shooting MINN VT
Field Goals Made 26.7 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.8
Field Goal % 48.5% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 17.5
Free Throw % 67.9% 79.8%
Ball Control MINN VT
Rebounds 32.6 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 7.1
Turnovers 10.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.4
Steals 5.8 5.6
Fouls 14.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN VT
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 67.0
% of Possessions with MINN VT
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 25.8%
Player Fouled 20.4% 20.9%
Turnover 15.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN VT
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 22.8%