NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN RUTG
Points 68.2 64.3
Total Points   132.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 15.9
Points From Free Throws 13.5 12.6
Shooting MINN RUTG
Field Goals Made 23.4 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 60.5
Field Goal % 42.8% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 41.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 13.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 18.7
Free Throw % 67.9% 67.6%
Ball Control MINN RUTG
Rebounds 38.7 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.4
Turnovers 13.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 5.2
Steals 6.2 7.7
Fouls 13.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN RUTG
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 71.5
% of Possessions with MINN RUTG
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 20.3%
Player Fouled 19.9% 19.5%
Turnover 19.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN RUTG
Shot Blocked 8.9% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 28.4%