NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN UTAH
Points 74.6 78.7
Total Points   153.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 27.3
Points From Free Throws 12.0 10.1
Shooting MINN UTAH
Field Goals Made 27.1 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 61.9
Field Goal % 43.7% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 15.9
Free Throw % 67.9% 63.4%
Ball Control MINN UTAH
Rebounds 35.0 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.0
Turnovers 9.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.1
Steals 5.7 5.7
Fouls 13.9 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN UTAH
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 71.3
% of Possessions with MINN UTAH
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 26.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.2%
Turnover 12.5% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN UTAH
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 25.6%