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Minnesota at Northwestern
Sat Jan 28, 2023
12:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Minnesota at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northwestern by 12, Total Points: 127.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 25-9-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 13-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 17-3-0 | 9-7-1 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 9-7-1 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Beth-Cook | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | UTSA | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Missouri | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | SC Upstate | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | San Francisco | +5.0 | L by 18 | -13.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | New Orleans | -12.0 | W by 33 | +21.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Nebraska | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | IUPUI | -22.5 | W by 36 | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Ball St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Maryland | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Iowa | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Wisconsin | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Penn St | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Iowa | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Purdue | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Rutgers | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Nebraska | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Penn St | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Butler | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Indiana St | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
| NW -12.0 | Open | -12.5 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -12.5 | Low | -12.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1731 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11 to 13 points. In these games:
- The team like Northwestern won the game 1515 times (87.5%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 216 times (12.5%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 865-832-34 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4906 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 2446-2359-101 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -12.5 | -- |
| Open | -12.5 | -12.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 11:59 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:17 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:13 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 01/28 11:05 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:54 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 01/28 01:43 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:03 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 01/27 10:37 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:14 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 01/27 07:13 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:34 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
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