NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN QUIN
Points 69.1 74.5
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 20.3
Points From Free Throws 9.1 12.2
Shooting CAN QUIN
Field Goals Made 26.3 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 62.5
Field Goal % 42.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 9.1 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 15.9
Free Throw % 59.8% 76.5%
Ball Control CAN QUIN
Rebounds 38.2 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 10.8
Turnovers 11.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.7
Steals 5.2 6.5
Fouls 12.8 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN QUIN
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 72.0
% of Possessions with CAN QUIN
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 22.9%
Player Fouled 17.6% 18.0%
Turnover 16.6% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN QUIN
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 29.7%