NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN MONM
Points 69.0 71.6
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 19.4
Points From Free Throws 9.8 12.7
Shooting CAN MONM
Field Goals Made 25.4 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 60.4
Field Goal % 41.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 9.8 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 17.7
Free Throw % 59.8% 71.6%
Ball Control CAN MONM
Rebounds 40.4 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 10.6
Turnovers 11.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.9
Steals 4.5 6.2
Fouls 14.1 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN MONM
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 70.9
% of Possessions with CAN MONM
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 23.3%
Player Fouled 18.2% 20.4%
Turnover 16.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN MONM
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 36.6% 28.8%