NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN MIA
Points 66.3 77.6
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 24.9
Points From Free Throws 6.5 10.4
Shooting CAN MIA
Field Goals Made 25.3 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 61.2
Field Goal % 39.8% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 6.5 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 11.0 14.5
Free Throw % 59.8% 71.6%
Ball Control CAN MIA
Rebounds 37.4 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.0
Turnovers 11.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.7
Steals 5.5 6.6
Fouls 13.5 9.6

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN MIA
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 70.0
% of Possessions with CAN MIA
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 27.0%
Player Fouled 13.6% 19.1%
Turnover 16.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN MIA
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 26.6%