NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN MAN
Points 72.9 66.2
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 19.9
Points From Free Throws 8.6 8.7
Shooting CAN MAN
Field Goals Made 28.4 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 59.9
Field Goal % 46.1% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 8.6 8.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 11.9
Free Throw % 59.8% 73.2%
Ball Control CAN MAN
Rebounds 40.6 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 7.5
Turnovers 11.1 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.4
Steals 6.2 6.5
Fouls 12.1 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN MAN
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 66.7
% of Possessions with CAN MAN
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 17.2%
Turnover 15.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN MAN
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 20.9%