NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN MRST
Points 59.5 63.2
Total Points   122.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 19.1
Points From Free Throws 9.7 10.6
Shooting CAN MRST
Field Goals Made 21.8 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 54.2
Field Goal % 39.9% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 9.7 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 14.6
Free Throw % 59.8% 72.8%
Ball Control CAN MRST
Rebounds 37.3 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 6.8
Turnovers 12.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.2
Steals 5.6 5.6
Fouls 14.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN MRST
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 62.9
% of Possessions with CAN MRST
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 23.7%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.1%
Turnover 18.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN MRST
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 20.7%