NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN TOL
Points 73.8 78.5
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 45.0 46.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 17.1
Points From Free Throws 7.6 15.1
Shooting CAN TOL
Field Goals Made 29.6 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.0
Field Goal % 48.4% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 44.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 7.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 12.7 20.3
Free Throw % 59.8% 74.2%
Ball Control CAN TOL
Rebounds 35.8 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.3
Turnovers 12.4 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 1.6
Steals 4.9 6.3
Fouls 16.2 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN TOL
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 70.6
% of Possessions with CAN TOL
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 54.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 18.4%
Player Fouled 16.2% 22.7%
Turnover 17.5% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN TOL
Shot Blocked 2.8% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 25.3%