NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN SIE
Points 70.5 61.7
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 16.1
Points From Free Throws 9.1 10.3
Shooting CAN SIE
Field Goals Made 27.3 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 56.7
Field Goal % 43.5% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 9.1 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 15.0
Free Throw % 59.8% 68.7%
Ball Control CAN SIE
Rebounds 38.9 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 10.5
Turnovers 9.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.9
Steals 6.8 4.4
Fouls 13.4 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN SIE
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 66.3
% of Possessions with CAN SIE
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 22.2%
Player Fouled 17.7% 19.7%
Turnover 13.4% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN SIE
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 34.6% 29.3%