NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN FAIR
Points 69.5 73.6
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 24.8
Points From Free Throws 7.5 11.2
Shooting CAN FAIR
Field Goals Made 27.3 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 60.3
Field Goal % 46.4% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 7.5 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 12.6 15.2
Free Throw % 59.8% 74.0%
Ball Control CAN FAIR
Rebounds 38.6 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.4
Turnovers 13.0 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.6
Steals 4.4 7.6
Fouls 13.0 11.0

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN FAIR
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 69.3
% of Possessions with CAN FAIR
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 28.7%
Player Fouled 15.8% 18.7%
Turnover 18.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN FAIR
Shot Blocked 2.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 23.9%