NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK PUR
Points 65.1 85.0
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 27.6
Points From Free Throws 9.0 16.6
Shooting OAK PUR
Field Goals Made 23.8 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 59.2
Field Goal % 37.6% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 40.3%
Free Throws Made 9.0 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 11.7 22.7
Free Throw % 76.4% 73.0%
Ball Control OAK PUR
Rebounds 28.5 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.4
Turnovers 8.3 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.3
Steals 5.9 4.5
Fouls 16.7 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK PUR
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 73.8
% of Possessions with OAK PUR
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 16.0% 24.0%
Turnover 11.9% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK PUR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 40.3%