NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK OKST
Points 73.7 73.3
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 28.2
Points From Free Throws 11.7 12.8
Shooting OAK OKST
Field Goals Made 26.9 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 57.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 17.9
Free Throw % 76.4% 71.2%
Ball Control OAK OKST
Rebounds 34.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.6
Turnovers 9.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 7.4 5.0
Fouls 13.8 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK OKST
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 69.0
% of Possessions with OAK OKST
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 34.4%
Player Fouled 19.3% 19.7%
Turnover 13.4% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK OKST
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 27.5%