NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK BGSU
Points 79.5 69.8
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 20.3
Points From Free Throws 12.7 13.7
Shooting OAK BGSU
Field Goals Made 28.6 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 60.6
Field Goal % 47.0% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 12.7 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 18.9
Free Throw % 76.4% 72.7%
Ball Control OAK BGSU
Rebounds 36.6 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.9
Turnovers 9.0 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.5
Steals 6.1 4.8
Fouls 14.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Oakland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK BGSU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 72.2
% of Possessions with OAK BGSU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 27.5%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.7%
Turnover 12.6% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK BGSU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 28.1%