NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK UIC
Points 73.0 72.1
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 31.1
Points From Free Throws 16.5 10.0
Shooting OAK UIC
Field Goals Made 24.5 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 60.1
Field Goal % 41.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 16.5 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 14.5
Free Throw % 76.4% 68.8%
Ball Control OAK UIC
Rebounds 38.7 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.0
Turnovers 9.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.9
Steals 6.6 4.9
Fouls 12.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK UIC
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 68.8
% of Possessions with OAK UIC
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 34.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 17.0%
Turnover 13.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK UIC
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 21.8%