NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK INDPU
Points 85.0 61.1
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 10.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 11.8
Shooting OAK INDPU
Field Goals Made 29.8 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 56.2
Field Goal % 51.0% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 3.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 24.4%
Free Throws Made 15.5 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 16.2
Free Throw % 76.4% 72.7%
Ball Control OAK INDPU
Rebounds 38.2 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 19.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.2
Turnovers 10.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.8
Steals 7.4 5.9
Fouls 13.0 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Oakland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK INDPU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 66.5
% of Possessions with OAK INDPU
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 18.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.5%
Turnover 14.8% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK INDPU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 37.5% 26.0%