NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK XAV
Points 74.7 80.0
Total Points   154.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 24.7
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.3
Shooting OAK XAV
Field Goals Made 26.6 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 61.9
Field Goal % 42.4% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.2
Free Throw % 76.4% 75.8%
Ball Control OAK XAV
Rebounds 34.7 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.3
Turnovers 9.4 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.3
Steals 5.9 5.3
Fouls 15.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Xavier

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK XAV
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 74.2
% of Possessions with OAK XAV
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 26.6%
Player Fouled 19.4% 20.6%
Turnover 12.9% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK XAV
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 31.4%