NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA CIN
Points 63.6 79.6
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 24.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 13.6
Shooting TLSA CIN
Field Goals Made 21.2 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 63.8
Field Goal % 38.6% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 15.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 19.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 68.9%
Ball Control TLSA CIN
Rebounds 30.1 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 14.6
Turnovers 12.3 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.6
Steals 6.4 6.5
Fouls 14.1 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA CIN
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 76.9
% of Possessions with TLSA CIN
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 27.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.3%
Turnover 16.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA CIN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 17.7% 38.1%