NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA ORU
Points 74.2 70.9
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 27.5
Points From Free Throws 18.0 13.4
Shooting TLSA ORU
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 58.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 18.0 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 17.3
Free Throw % 73.6% 77.1%
Ball Control TLSA ORU
Rebounds 37.0 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 7.6
Turnovers 9.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.0
Steals 6.1 4.9
Fouls 13.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA ORU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 69.2
% of Possessions with TLSA ORU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 32.5%
Player Fouled 24.4% 18.3%
Turnover 13.4% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA ORU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 20.9%