NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA TCU
Points 68.0 81.6
Total Points   149.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 21.0
Points From Free Throws 17.3 18.0
Shooting TLSA TCU
Field Goals Made 22.4 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 60.8
Field Goal % 43.5% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.3 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 24.8
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.7%
Ball Control TLSA TCU
Rebounds 29.2 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 13.4
Turnovers 14.9 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 6.5 8.6
Fouls 16.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA TCU
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 76.7
% of Possessions with TLSA TCU
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 21.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.6%
Turnover 19.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA TCU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 36.8%