NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA CONN
Points 57.4 85.4
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.3 26.8
Points From Free Throws 15.4 17.5
Shooting TLSA CONN
Field Goals Made 18.6 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 58.8
Field Goal % 34.6% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 26.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.4 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 23.3
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.1%
Ball Control TLSA CONN
Rebounds 27.0 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 12.2
Turnovers 10.9 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.0
Steals 5.4 5.9
Fouls 15.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA CONN
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 73.5
% of Possessions with TLSA CONN
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 30.2%
Player Fouled 22.7% 22.6%
Turnover 15.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA CONN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 17.3% 37.4%