NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA WICH
Points 70.6 73.3
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 18.3
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.1
Shooting TLSA WICH
Field Goals Made 24.3 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 60.8
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.8
Free Throw % 73.6% 69.7%
Ball Control TLSA WICH
Rebounds 33.8 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.0
Turnovers 10.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.7
Steals 7.9 6.4
Fouls 13.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA WICH
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 72.7
% of Possessions with TLSA WICH
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 22.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 18.5%
Turnover 14.5% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA WICH
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 29.8%