NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB WIS
Points 67.4 95.2
Total Points   162.5
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 27.5
Points From Free Throws 13.4 18.3
Shooting ARPB WIS
Field Goals Made 22.6 33.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 61.0
Field Goal % 42.7% 55.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 70.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 13.4 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 24.4
Free Throw % 75.0% 75.1%
Ball Control ARPB WIS
Rebounds 23.5 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 19.3 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 4.2 11.6
Turnovers 12.3 7.1
Blocked Shots 1.3 2.3
Steals 3.4 6.6
Fouls 18.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB WIS
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 76.3
% of Possessions with ARPB WIS
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 30.9%
Player Fouled 21.2% 25.2%
Turnover 17.2% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB WIS
Shot Blocked 3.8% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 12.7% 37.6%