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Ark Pine Bl at Baylor
Sat Dec 4, 2021
5:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Ark Pine Bl at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 38.5, Total Points: 143
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARPB | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-18-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-11-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-8-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 7-10-0 | 10-7-1 |
Ark Pine Bl Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Missouri | +27.5 | L by 22 | +5.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Champion Baptist | -- | W by 43 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Southwestern Christian | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/13 | Away | Central Ark | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Incar Word | -5.5 | L by 19 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Minnesota | +18.5 | L by 19 | -0.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Ball St | +10.0 | L by 18 | -8.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | Arkansas Baptist | -- | W by 25 | -- |
| 11/30 | Away | Oklahoma | +28.0 | L by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Gonzaga | +33.0 | L by 40 | -7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Connecticut | +37.0 | L by 38 | -1.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | S Florida | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Ecclesia College | -- | W by 50 | -- |
| 01/06 | Home | Alab A&M | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Alabama St | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TX Southern | +7.0 | W by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Florida A&M | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Beth-Cook | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Southern | +9.0 | L by 14 | -5.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Grambling St | +6.5 | W by 16 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Miss Val St | -9.5 | W by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Prairie View | +3.0 | L by 1 | +2.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alcorn St | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Jackson St | +1.5 | L by 13 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Alabama St | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Alab A&M | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Prairie View | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | TX Southern | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Miss Val St | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Jackson St | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alcorn St | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -38.5 | Open | -42.0 | High | -42.0 |
| Last | -39.0 | Low | -38.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 25 games where the closing line favored the home team by 37.5 to 39.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 25 times (100.0%).
- The team like Arkansas-Pine Bluff won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 13-12 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 146 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 83-61-2 (57.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -38.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -42.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/04 04:56 PM | -38.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:23 PM | -39.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:58 PM | -39.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:05 PM | -38.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:56 PM | -39.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:50 AM | -39.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:08 AM | -39.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:59 AM | -40.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:26 AM | -42.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:43 AM | -42.0 | -- | -- |
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