NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB SLU
Points 76.2 91.4
Total Points   167.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 44.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 29.2
Points From Free Throws 16.3 18.1
Shooting ARPB SLU
Field Goals Made 24.5 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 59.8
Field Goal % 42.5% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 28.0 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 66.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.3 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 24.2
Free Throw % 75.0% 75.1%
Ball Control ARPB SLU
Rebounds 28.0 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 10.0
Turnovers 9.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.3
Steals 4.5 5.6
Fouls 16.6 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB SLU
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 74.9
% of Possessions with ARPB SLU
2 Point Attempt 34.4% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 31.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.5%
Turnover 13.2% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB SLU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.3% 31.4%