NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB TXSO
Points 71.0 80.2
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.1 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 24.5
Points From Free Throws 18.2 14.5
Shooting ARPB TXSO
Field Goals Made 21.8 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 65.0
Field Goal % 39.8% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 12.5 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.2 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 18.2 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 19.7
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.6%
Ball Control ARPB TXSO
Rebounds 33.4 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 12.7
Turnovers 11.9 8.9
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.8
Steals 4.1 6.4
Fouls 14.7 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: TX Southern

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB TXSO
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 77.8
% of Possessions with ARPB TXSO
2 Point Attempt 32.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 31.9%
Player Fouled 23.8% 19.9%
Turnover 16.1% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB TXSO
Shot Blocked 5.9% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 32.3%