NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB GRAM
Points 69.4 78.4
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 18.4
Points From Free Throws 15.5 15.2
Shooting ARPB GRAM
Field Goals Made 22.4 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 59.4
Field Goal % 40.8% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 15.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 21.6
Free Throw % 75.0% 70.7%
Ball Control ARPB GRAM
Rebounds 31.1 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.8
Turnovers 11.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.5
Steals 4.4 6.6
Fouls 14.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB GRAM
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 73.2
% of Possessions with ARPB GRAM
2 Point Attempt 35.2% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 21.3%
Player Fouled 21.2% 19.9%
Turnover 16.5% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB GRAM
Shot Blocked 5.9% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 31.0%