NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB NW
Points 65.8 91.6
Total Points   157.3
Points From 2-Pointers 25.0 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 30.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 16.2
Shooting ARPB NW
Field Goals Made 21.2 32.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 61.0
Field Goal % 41.0% 53.3%
2 Pointers Made 12.5 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 27.1 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 63.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 14.8 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 21.5
Free Throw % 75.0% 75.6%
Ball Control ARPB NW
Rebounds 26.4 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 4.6 9.8
Turnovers 12.7 6.6
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.1
Steals 3.4 7.0
Fouls 16.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB NW
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 74.2
% of Possessions with ARPB NW
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 32.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.7%
Turnover 17.9% 9.3%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB NW
Shot Blocked 6.7% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 13.9% 31.0%