NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU CLEVST
Points 70.4 78.7
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 21.6
Points From Free Throws 12.5 13.3
Shooting FIU CLEVST
Field Goals Made 25.2 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 62.1
Field Goal % 42.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 43.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 12.5 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.2
Free Throw % 65.0% 65.8%
Ball Control FIU CLEVST
Rebounds 32.9 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 14.3
Turnovers 12.4 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.1
Steals 6.8 7.1
Fouls 14.2 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU CLEVST
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 75.2
% of Possessions with FIU CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 20.8%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.6%
Turnover 17.1% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU CLEVST
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 38.9%