NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY CARK
Points 77.5 77.7
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 26.5
Points From Free Throws 14.4 14.6
Shooting PEAY CARK
Field Goals Made 26.6 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 58.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 20.1
Free Throw % 74.1% 72.3%
Ball Control PEAY CARK
Rebounds 33.1 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 9.3
Turnovers 12.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.1
Steals 7.1 8.0
Fouls 15.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY CARK
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 71.0
% of Possessions with PEAY CARK
2 Point Attempt 35.6% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 32.7%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.5%
Turnover 16.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY CARK
Shot Blocked 3.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 27.0%