NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY CARK
Points 79.7 72.2
Total Points   151.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 23.6
Points From Free Throws 9.6 13.9
Shooting PEAY CARK
Field Goals Made 28.7 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 56.0
Field Goal % 46.4% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 9.6 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 19.0
Free Throw % 70.8% 73.2%
Ball Control PEAY CARK
Rebounds 33.4 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.4
Turnovers 9.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.1
Steals 7.1 5.4
Fouls 14.7 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: C Arkansas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY CARK
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 67.5
% of Possessions with PEAY CARK
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 40.4% 29.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 20.9%
Turnover 12.9% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY CARK
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 25.1%