NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY LIP
Points 78.3 75.3
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 26.7
Points From Free Throws 15.1 12.1
Shooting PEAY LIP
Field Goals Made 27.6 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 60.3
Field Goal % 47.3% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 15.1 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 15.7
Free Throw % 74.3% 77.0%
Ball Control PEAY LIP
Rebounds 35.1 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.6
Turnovers 11.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.3
Steals 7.8 6.3
Fouls 13.4 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY LIP
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 70.0
% of Possessions with PEAY LIP
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 32.2%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.4%
Turnover 15.2% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY LIP
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 24.5%