NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY LIP
Points 66.3 80.7
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 27.2
Points From Free Throws 9.5 16.7
Shooting PEAY LIP
Field Goals Made 24.9 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 53.4
Field Goal % 40.9% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 9.5 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 20.8
Free Throw % 70.8% 80.2%
Ball Control PEAY LIP
Rebounds 30.3 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 6.1
Turnovers 8.4 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.6
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 16.4 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY LIP
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 65.6
% of Possessions with PEAY LIP
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 29.6%
Player Fouled 15.6% 23.8%
Turnover 12.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY LIP
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 21.7%