NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY EKY
Points 74.5 78.5
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 18.6
Points From Free Throws 15.1 16.1
Shooting PEAY EKY
Field Goals Made 26.0 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 64.6 59.5
Field Goal % 40.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 45.2 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 15.1 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 23.3
Free Throw % 70.9% 69.3%
Ball Control PEAY EKY
Rebounds 35.6 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.3
Turnovers 6.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.0
Steals 5.9 3.4
Fouls 15.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: E Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY EKY
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 74.1
% of Possessions with PEAY EKY
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 20.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.7%
Turnover 9.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY EKY
Shot Blocked 10.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 34.6%