NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY SIUE
Points 77.7 72.5
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 16.6 15.8
Shooting PEAY SIUE
Field Goals Made 26.5 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 57.9
Field Goal % 46.9% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 16.6 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 21.6
Free Throw % 70.9% 73.2%
Ball Control PEAY SIUE
Rebounds 33.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.9
Turnovers 8.2 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.0
Steals 5.6 4.0
Fouls 15.3 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY SIUE
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 71.2
% of Possessions with PEAY SIUE
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 24.2%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.0%
Turnover 11.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY SIUE
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 30.3%