NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY JVST
Points 72.0 71.8
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 12.4
Points From Free Throws 14.4 17.3
Shooting PEAY JVST
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 53.5
Field Goal % 45.2% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 25.2
Free Throw % 70.9% 68.8%
Ball Control PEAY JVST
Rebounds 29.0 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 12.0
Turnovers 8.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 6.1 4.4
Fouls 16.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY JVST
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 69.5
% of Possessions with PEAY JVST
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 16.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 24.4%
Turnover 12.7% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY JVST
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 36.4%