NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY TNTC
Points 77.6 68.8
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 16.4
Points From Free Throws 11.7 12.5
Shooting PEAY TNTC
Field Goals Made 28.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 53.2
Field Goal % 48.1% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 11.7 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 18.0
Free Throw % 70.9% 69.5%
Ball Control PEAY TNTC
Rebounds 33.9 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.1
Turnovers 7.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.3
Steals 6.8 3.2
Fouls 15.0 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY TNTC
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 63.9
% of Possessions with PEAY TNTC
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 21.8%
Player Fouled 18.9% 22.0%
Turnover 10.9% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY TNTC
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 19.6%