NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY TCU
Points 70.5 86.9
Total Points   157.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 49.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 17.4
Points From Free Throws 14.1 20.1
Shooting PEAY TCU
Field Goals Made 24.9 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 57.9
Field Goal % 43.1% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 14.1 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 27.6
Free Throw % 70.9% 72.7%
Ball Control PEAY TCU
Rebounds 27.3 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 18.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 13.0
Turnovers 10.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.3
Steals 5.6 5.8
Fouls 17.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY TCU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 75.1
% of Possessions with PEAY TCU
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 18.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 24.0%
Turnover 14.9% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY TCU
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 41.0%