NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY WVU
Points 74.5 80.6
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 20.3
Points From Free Throws 12.7 18.8
Shooting PEAY WVU
Field Goals Made 26.2 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 52.8
Field Goal % 42.9% 52.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 12.7 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 26.7
Free Throw % 70.9% 70.4%
Ball Control PEAY WVU
Rebounds 30.6 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.9
Turnovers 8.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 6.6 3.1
Fouls 18.5 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY WVU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 69.0
% of Possessions with PEAY WVU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 22.7%
Player Fouled 18.8% 26.5%
Turnover 11.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 4.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY WVU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 29.9%