NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY YALE
Points 71.9 84.1
Total Points   156.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 52.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 15.7
Points From Free Throws 11.9 16.0
Shooting ALBY YALE
Field Goals Made 26.0 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 58.8
Field Goal % 42.9% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 23.0
Free Throw % 73.9% 69.8%
Ball Control ALBY YALE
Rebounds 30.8 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.2
Turnovers 11.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.0
Steals 5.9 6.6
Fouls 17.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY YALE
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 72.6
% of Possessions with ALBY YALE
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 20.0%
Player Fouled 17.8% 24.2%
Turnover 15.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY YALE
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 29.3%